Item Details

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Horizon Scanning for Environmental Foresight: A Review of Issues and Approaches

David N. Bengston
Format
EBook; Book; Government Document; Online
Published
Newtown Square, Pennsylvania : United States Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station, [2013]
Language
English
Variant Title
Environmental foresight
Series
General Technical Report NRS
SuDoc Number
A 13.88:NRS-121
Abstract
Natural resource management organizations carry out a range of activities to examine possible future conditions and trends as part of their planning process, but the distinct approach of formal horizon scanning is often a missing component of strategic thinking and strategy development in these organizations. Horizon scanning is a process for finding and interpreting early indications of change in the external environment of an organization or field. Effective horizon scanning serves as an early warning system to identify potential opportunities and threats, enable decisionmakers to plan accordingly and take timely action, and foster a culture of foresight throughout an organization. This paper reviews and discusses the key items needed to create an effective horizon scanning system: conceptual frameworks, organizational approaches, design principles, techniques to improve effectiveness, and techniques for analyzing and interpreting scanning results.
Description
1 online resource ([2], 20 pages) : illustrations (some color).
Notes
  • Title from title screen (viewed on Jan. 13, 2014).
  • "September 2013."
  • Includes bibliographical references (pages 16-20).
Series Statement
General technical report NRS ; 121
Copyright Not EvaluatedCopyright Not Evaluated
Technical Details
  • Access in Virgo Classic
  • Staff View

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    a| Natural resource management organizations carry out a range of activities to examine possible future conditions and trends as part of their planning process, but the distinct approach of formal horizon scanning is often a missing component of strategic thinking and strategy development in these organizations. Horizon scanning is a process for finding and interpreting early indications of change in the external environment of an organization or field. Effective horizon scanning serves as an early warning system to identify potential opportunities and threats, enable decisionmakers to plan accordingly and take timely action, and foster a culture of foresight throughout an organization. This paper reviews and discusses the key items needed to create an effective horizon scanning system: conceptual frameworks, organizational approaches, design principles, techniques to improve effectiveness, and techniques for analyzing and interpreting scanning results.
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