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Red State, Blue State: Demographic Change and Presidential Politics in Virginia

Cable, Dustin; Claibourn, Michele
Format
Report
Author
Cable, Dustin
Claibourn, Michele
Abstract
Virginia is one of the most closely watched battleground states in the upcoming presidential election, with the commonwealth’s 13 electoral votes figuring prominently in the strategies of both the Republicans and Democrats. Until Barack Obama’s upset victory in Virginia four years ago, the commonwealth had not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1964. Some political analysts believe demographic trends have finally, and perhaps permanently, tilted Virginia from a “red” state to a “blue” state. This report briefly reviews Virginia’s political history, analyzes trends within key demographic groups over the past twenty years, and simulates the 2012 presidential election based on patterns seen in the last two presidential contests.
Language
English
Date Received
2017-10-30
Published
Numbers Count. UVA Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service. University of Virginia, July 2012
Published Date
July 2012
Sponsoring Agency
Demographics Research Group, Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service
Collection
Libra Open Repository
Related Resources
http://demographics.coopercenter.org/files/2016/12/NC_RedState-BlueState_07-25-2012_0.pdf
Creative Commons Attribution, No Derivative Works LicenseCreative Commons Attribution, No Derivative Works License
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